Prediction for the fight Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka

A little over two months ago, Alex Pereira defended his title at the historic UFC 300, and wanted to compete at the 301st event in his native Brazil. But then he was not given such an opportunity due to broken toes. But they gave him a chance to show his champion character at UFC 303 and take Conor McGregor’s place there in a sudden rematch with Jiri Prochazka. This means that on June 30, two of the best light heavyweights in the league will meet at T-Mobile Arena on short notice, each eager to cement their status as the leader at 93 kilograms.

• Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka;
• Alex Pereira;
• Jiri Prochazka;
• Comparative analysis;
• Game Totals Prediction.

Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka

Alex Pereira

The champion of the light heavyweight division and number 4 in the P4P rating will go to the second defense of the belt. Alex had a great career in kickboxing, where he was a double Glory champion, as well as a holder of WAKO Pro and WGP belts, and after that he also picked up a couple of UFC belts. Now on his way to becoming MMA's greatest fighter, "Poatan" is ready to defend his gold and wait a little while before heading up to heavyweight.

Strengths

Smooth pressing, a large tonnage of punches and kicks, a leisurely assessment of the situation in the cage and the seizure of space, gradually bring the Brazilian into striking range. As soon as he overtakes the target with a heavy punch, he immediately increases the tempo and begins to crush the opponent with his terrible hits. And Alex performs the second number quite confidently, however, flattering reviews are only appropriate here when talking about the stance.

Weaknesses

When the left cross and right straight are not working, Pereira often begins to let his opponents get too close and eat unnecessary punches. And on the ground, besides tying up the enemy and trying to get up, he’s not really capable of responding with anything. In addition, we are talking about a one-dimensional athlete whose style has not changed for years in a row, which increases the likelihood of a thorough study of his movements and reactions.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Pereira is 36 years old, second only to Israel Adesanya in the UFC and is currently riding a three-fight winning streak: Blachowicz, Prochaska and Hill. “Poatan” demonstrates approximately identical form in each bout, but now he enters the cage on a two-week notice, and during this period, he needs to lose about 10 kilograms. However, the champion is physically and mentally strong, so there is no doubt about his ability to knock out any opponent, even without a full-fledged camp.

Jiri Prochazka

The Czech who took the new nickname “BJP” occupies 1st place in the ranking. Jiri has come a long way in martial arts, showing himself well in Muay Thai in his homeland, then pocketing the Rizin FF and Gladiator titles, and subsequently becoming the UFC champion, although not for long. Now, Prochaska has seized the opportunity to reclaim the biggest trophy of his career, and to do so against the unprepared Pereira is one of his best opportunities.

Strengths

Jiri attacks not only with his limbs, but with every bend of his body - elbows, shoulders, backfists, knees, he would probably also fight with his head, but the rules do not allow this. The kaleidoscope of unreadable attacks is slightly offset by the straightforwardness of the fighter, but this pales against the background of how the European switches between standing and ground, where he also has an excellent arsenal. In his personal chaos, Jiri feels most harmonious.

Weaknesses

If it weren’t for Prochazka’s vitality and strong head, most likely there would have been many more defeats in his career. He never follows a plan, rarely listens to angles and relies on instincts. Low-low hands, endless pressure and slight madness force him to run into retaliatory attacks from his opponents, and sometimes this leads to knockouts.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Jiri is 31 years old, and in 15 recent appearances, he lost only to Pereira. After finishing off Oezdemir, Reyes and Teixeira, the fighter retreated to Alex and then finished Aleksandar Rakic. Prochazka’s strong point is the constant training process, which is why one believes in his good form more than his colleague. And with the motivation to go to the bitter end, everything is great here too, so a short notice in this particular case is not an indicator.

Comparative analysis

The issue of anthropometry is not acute here, since Prochazka will force the fight at medium-to-close range. Given past experience, it is this strategy that will prevent Pereira from discharging kicks that Jiri did not particularly like. At the net, both generate approximately the same number of dangerous moments, and here there will be more questions about whether the Czech fighter will be able to curb his ardor and defend better than usual (the answer is no). It is in his interests to impose a clinch and more wrestling, because the transfer in the first fight worked out, so in this situation, Alex will not compete with him.

But the phenomenon of Jiri is that he is his own enemy and, with the greatest degree of probability, will exchange blows, and this will definitely lead one of the parties to an early defeat. They have 25 minutes allotted for this, and even if someone in particular is more careful, it’s impossible to believe that we will hear the judge’s decision. Or Prochazka will fall from another counterattack, or “Poatan” will still not be able to withstand the attack, and will also end up clogged near the net, and then on the ground. The chances of winning here, taking into account all the features of organizing the meeting, are as equal as ever.

Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka Prediction

Most likely, this fight will last a little longer than the last one, but there is no need to wait for a strategic analysis from Jiri, because his fight with Rakic showed that nothing in the “BJP” style is changing. What will play a much bigger role is whether Pereira, after the clinches and perhaps short sessions on the ground, is also ready to counterattack and defend accurately. If so, his side will find their target, but he also knows how to make mistakes, so choosing a specific winner here is a considerable risk. It is better to bet on the duration of the meeting and, in order to be on the safe side, we will take a slightly larger margin than last time - Total less (3.5) in rounds if they reach the 4th segment. Download 1xbet to your phone and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Total less (3.5-2.5) for completed rounds