Prediction for the fight Michael Page vs Ian Garry

There's a lot of mystery going on around UFC 303, and almost certainly the latest co-main event has been confirmed, with Michael Page and Ian Garry each set to get a title shot. That is why, on June 30, they will clash in a fight that has every chance of getting a 5-round status, where, perhaps, the leader of the race for the 77 kilogram belt will be revealed. The Briton will enter the cage as an underdog, but is Ian's advantage so clear?

Michael Page vs Ian Garry

Michael Page

“Venom” earned himself the 14th place in the rating at 77 kg with just one victory in the UFC. Previously, he shone on the kickboxing scene, earning gold medals at the WAKO and WKA, ISKA championships, where he had many successful fights. Michael was also good at karate, and when he retrained as an MMA fighter, he reached the semifinals of the Bellator Grand Prix and fought for the interim title, but did not emerge victorious in any of the matches.

Strengths

Page is a counter-punching genius. His footwork, speed, and close to ideal sense of distance allow him to instantly react to any actions of the opposition, neutralizing them with counter hits. Of course, with such a base, his lower limbs are in perfect order - they fly to the target no slower than his arms. And in general, Michael is very good in defense, and on all floors.

Weaknesses

The only thing I can complain about with Page is his grappling. Yes, no one has been able to submit him yet, but you can cause problems for this guy on the ground floor. On top of everything else, he is steadily aging, and the British worker's workrate tends to decline. However, at the same time, the ex-Bellator fighter is incredibly dangerous.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Michael is 37 years old, in his last 10 fights he was defeated twice - it was Douglas Lima and Logan Storley. In the UFC, he had a chance to make his debut against Kevin Holland, who was quite confident, and before that he beat Goichi Yamauchi, Derek Anderson, Lima in a rematch and Ross Houston. “Venom” skillfully uses his size and has fully optimized his striking technique to work against fighters of different styles. He is ready to go towards a new goal - the belt, and now demonstrates not only increased motivation, but also professionalism in all its manifestations.

Michael Page vs Ian Garry

Ian Garry

After the extreme victory, Ian soared to 7th place in the ranking. He still maintains a perfect 14-0 record, is a former champion of the notorious European Cage Warriors league, and also has some merit in boxing and judo, where he reached the level of black belt. Garry is trying to play the role of the star Irishman, but his daily life and not always bright triumphs, so far, are preventing this.

Strengths

Due to his background in boxing, Ian has very good hands, fast combos, a confident jab and a straight right, due to which he infringes on the rights of his opponents in the octagon. Low kicks, and kicks on the upper floors, are also worked out here, and all this intersects with the ground, however, apart from control, it does not offer anything significant on the ground floor.

Weaknesses

Garry is very dependent on maintaining a working distance and offensive initiative, because otherwise his game plan falls apart and he has to be creative. And in general, under pressure, he is not so good at dealing focused damage, which reduces the chances of a dominant victory.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Ian is only 26 years old and, as mentioned earlier, has 14 wins in a row (7-0 UFC). In extreme performances, "The Future" outperformed veterans Daniel Rodriguez, Neil Magny, and Geoff Neal. Good growth in opposition and progress in skills. Garry has proven himself well in difficult clashes, where a lot of things didn’t go according to plan, and now the guy has every chance to calm down the Bellator legend to gain a foothold in the elite of the division.

Comparative analysis

With identical height, Ian is far behind his counterpart in terms of arm span - 11.5 cm. Considering that we are talking about a fight, the lion's share of which will take place in the stand-up position, since Garry is far from a top freestyle wrestler, this gap will play a key role. Plus, Michael will work as number two, and his stinging counterattacks will become a big problem for the Irishman.

If you remember how willingly Ian ate Neil Magny's jabs, there is not the slightest doubt that punches from Page will fly into his head every now and then, and he will need to make adjustments as the meeting progresses. Is it a realistic scenario where Garry takes a lot of damage on his feet and starts struggling? Perhaps, but the British takedown defense is very good, and it will be difficult to overcome it. In this case, Ian will be forced to take blows in order to pin down the opponent and try to take points from him in clinch and through serial work.

As for Page, in his case, there is no need to invent anything new: distance, counter attacks, avoiding attacks - this is the best that can work against the advancing force of the enemy. Considering that both can take a punch well, most likely the fight will be protracted Total over (2.5), where the winner will be determined in the championship segments, and not at all earlier - both need to slow each other down before throwing out something really significant.

Michael Page vs Ian Garry Prediction

Considering Michael’s extremely awkward style, which Ian definitely had no experience with, and it’s unlikely that anyone in the Irish camp will be able to copy it with the same quality, it will take him time to get used to this rhythm. That is why it was said above that the fight will drag on, and there are options here for the bet to definitely work, albeit with smaller odds than for a specific winner. The first is Total over (1.5) for 1.49 – the highest chances of hitting. Total over (2.5) for 1.47 also looks good. As a result, the one with the larger fuel tank will win, and in protracted battles, it is Page who looks a little more preferable. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Total over (1.5-2.5) for completed rounds

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