Prediction Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Daniel Rodriguez

One of the first fights at UFC on ESPN 26, will be a meeting of fighters from the welterweight division: Russian Abubakar Nurmagomedov, will fight with the American knockout, Daniel Rodriguez. For Abubakar, this will be one of the biggest challenges of all his performances in the organization, because a lot depends on the results of his performance.

Rodriguez appeared in the promotion just last year, but he has already managed to make a noise thanks to the amazing frequency of appearances in the cage. Bookmakers rate rivals as almost equal, but whether this is really the case, we will understand this forecast.

Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Daniel Rodriguez

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Our fighter has regalia in combat sambo, from where he, in fact, moved to MMA. Initially, Abubakar took first places at competitions in Dagestan, then he reached the Russian level, and the final point of his career in BS was the World Championship, where he was 3rd. In mixed martial arts, Nurmagomedov was not so successful, except for participation in the PFL Grand Prix, from where he flew out due to injury.

Despite his wrestling roots, Abubakar shows himself well in the stand, where he often gets even a little more than in the stalls. However, given his age and the length of his career, it is impossible to call him an elite – level athlete at the moment, because he makes too many mistakes in duels.


Nurmagomedov is a full-fledged, balanced athlete who charges well on the right, prepares attacks well, and in general, looks decent in the rack. In addition, as an attacking link, Abubakar demonstrates a honed technique in the stalls, but there are more questions about his defense.


Two defeats by a submishen in the last 3 years, taking into account who are the sparring partners of the Dagestani, look, to put it mildly, strange. Loss of control and concentration, lead to the fact that Nurmagomedov gets caught in receptions, and as a result can not get out of them.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Abubakar is 31 years old, he has only 2 fights in the UFC behind him, but in the last 5, he got only a couple of wins, one draw and lost twice. Choke shots performed by David Zavada and Pavel Kushch disarmed the fighter, and he was able to recoup in fights with little-known Jared Gordon and Jonathan Westin. Nurmagomedov shows good form, his performance in March 2021 was very convincing, but it seems that he does not learn from his own mistakes, stumbling on the same thing from time to time.

Prediction Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Daniel Rodriguez

Daniel Rodriguez

The American has been playing professionally for only 5 years, but during this time he managed to become a Smash Global champion, give a 7-0 record for amateurs, perform under the auspices of KOTC, Bellator, and also take part in the "Challenger Series" of Dana White. This is a fighter of the modern MMA school, who does not have a large background in other martial arts.

One of the main features of Daniel is the number of fights held annually. It is quite normal for Rodriguez to enter the cage 3-4 times a year, and even now, with the growing level of opposition, he does not change himself. But it is much more important that the quality is not lost due to the frequency and the athlete demonstrates good growth rates.


Given the short period of stay in the industry, it's too early to say that Daniel is the best in something specific. However, it is already possible to say with confidence that this guy has a good level of skills in the stand, and has knowledge in the stalls, which is enough to win victories. Versatility is the trait that keeps Rodriguez on the horse.


Meetings with" okolotopami " showed that the American has shortcomings in certain aspects of the battle. He skips too much, does not always cope with the pressure and high pace, but it is not possible to single out a serious flaw in him as a fighter.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Daniel is already 34 years old, but considering that he started recently, we can say that now the athlete is in the best shape for all the time of performances. In a little more than a year, he fought 5 times, finishing this line with a score of 4-1. Only Nicholas Dalby managed to pass Rodriguez, and even then by a decision of the judges, the rest: Mike Perry, Dwight Grant, Gabriel Green and others, could not cope with his style. Daniel's busy schedule continues, which means that he, as before, will be in good condition.

Bookmakers ' odds

Experts of BC 1xbet see Daniel Rodriguez as a small favorite, who goes with a coefficient of 1.81. At the same time, Abubakar Nurmagomedov is behind, but with a small margin – the kef for his victory is 2. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite.

Comparative analysis

The rivals have minimal differences in size, but Rodriguez holds the championship, breaking ahead by 2 cm in height, and 3 cm in arm span. The fighters are about equally savvy in all directions, but Rodriguez makes elementary mistakes much less often, and puts more pressure on opponents, which will play a key role in their confrontation. Both hit hard, they know how to fight, but Daniel will always be half a step ahead.

The experience, the level of batting opposition, the winning streak and the stability of performances – all this is on the side of the American. Abubakar may be surprised, since Khabib Nurmagomedov takes an active part in his camp, but something tells me that he will not jump above his previous level in such a short period. And the counterattacking actions of Rodriguez can become an insurmountable obstacle for Nurmagomedov.

Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Daniel Rodriguez Fight Prediction

Abubakar often uses his right hand, leading his rivals to the fact that they themselves run into it. However, as mentioned above, Daniel is a counterpuncher, and even a lefty, so catching him on such things is not the easiest task. In the stalls, he is in no way inferior to the Dagestani athlete, and it is unlikely that he will reach him at all, because the audience is waiting for a "war" in the rack, where Rodriguez, in my opinion, has more chances of success. Nurmagomedov will give him a fight, but frequent mistakes do not bode well. For this reason, Daniel has all the chances to win.

Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez wins

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