Prediction for the fight Evgeny Goncharov vs Adam Bogatyrev

The biggest event of the year among domestic MMA leagues – the ACA Heavyweight Grand Prix Final – will be held on August 16 in Moscow. The ACA 178 tournament will be headed by well-known heavyweights: the champion, Evgeny Goncharov and Adam Bogatyrev. Despite the odds and other things, Adam, as a heavyweight, has that one punch that can end everything, so it is worth assessing the chances of both winning more deeply to understand the situation. 

• Evgeny Goncharov vs Adam Bogatyrev;
• Evgeny Goncharov;
• Adam Bogatyrev;
• Comparative analysis;
• Game Totals Prediction.

Evgeny Goncharov vs Adam Bogatyrev

Evgeny Goncharov

Evgeny Viktorovich is a two-time ACA and WFCA champion, the champion of the Southern Federal District in wrestling and hand-to-hand combat, and the winner of a number of regional competitions in boxing, kickboxing and SBE MMA. Goncharov is on a great winning streak, and is currently on the verge of winning the status of the most titled heavyweight in the promotion. 

Strengths

Goncharov has a hard time fighting aggressive wrestlers who are bigger than him. He knows how to defend himself on the ground, but he has a hard time confidently and constantly counterattacking. The situation is roughly the same in the standing position. 

Weaknesses

Michal lost 6 times by submission, and he does not manage to somehow change the situation with his skills on the ground. Takedown defense is mediocre, and apart from knitting the opponent in the first moments, it does not offer anything effective. 

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Evgeniy is already 38 years old, he has 6 victories in a row, where there are such names as Anton Vyazigin, Alikhan Vakhaev, Mukhumat Vakhaev and Tony Johnson. Despite his age, the Rostov native is on good form, demonstrating almost the best conditions of his entire career, and at the same time has extensive experience in fights with elite fighters of his category. But do not forget that age always makes itself felt, especially in clashes with the young guard. 

Adam Bogatyrev

This guy comes from combat sambo, where he became a world champion, twice, and, accordingly, an MSIC. Before that, he also took first place twice in Russia, as well as silver at the Russian Cup in mixed martial arts. In 2017, he won the Tech-Krep FC Grand Prix, after which he experienced a serious decline in his career, but then he leveled off the situation. 

Strengths

Adam is a top-notch striker, with a good base of kicks, outstanding anthropometry and the ability to act from a long distance. On the ground, he is effective only as an attacking link. Otherwise, he simply moves a lot, quickly approaches to strike and moves back, systematically stopping opponents with his kicks. 

Weaknesses

Bogatyrev's main problem is working on the ground from behind. The same Musaev showed that it is possible to control Adam without receiving colossal damage and on a permanent basis. Moreover, no one has tested him at a distance of 5 rounds. 

The current form and readiness of the fighter

The athlete is 29 years old, and his winning streak consists of 4 fights: Daniel Omelyanchuk, Jeronimo Dos Santos, Rafael Pessoa and Kirill Kornilov, were passed by him quite confidently. Adam is in excellent shape, he had enough time to recover after the last fight, and most importantly - he got out of 3 rounds for the first time when he fought Kornilov. Probably, past problems with the partner should push Bogatyrev to pump up his takedown defense by the Grand Prix final. 

Comparative analysis

Oleksiychuk is inferior to his counterpart in height, but slightly ahead in scope - only 2.5 cm. Once again, the matchmakers tried and brought together two strikers, so the fight promises to be intriguing, because both have the highest indicators of early victories. Of course, technically, Sharabutdin looks much more interesting, especially due to footwork.

He throws more accentuated punches, but has a lower quality defense, which will allow a charged Pole to catch up with him with his sledgehammers, creating dangerous situations (3.69). However, in terms of playing ahead of the curve, Magomedov can overtake him, and here, there will be those very moments where Michal simply will not be able to process the amount of information "flying" into him, in the form of a combo of kicks and side kicks (1.30).

If "Husar" decides to put pressure on the weaknesses of "Bullet Balls", he can keep him at the net and try to tire him without going to the distance. But in this aspect, he is not good enough to win a whole fight. It is much more likely that we will see a series of skirmishes at a medium-close distance, and here, a knockout blow from either side can end the fight (Under (2.5) for completed rounds – 1.60). 

Evgeny Goncharov vs Adam Bogatyrev Prediction

If we take the technical arsenal of the fighters as a whole, then the favorite here is Goncharov, and it is hard to argue with this. You can hope as much as you like that Adam will be too big and strong for him, and as a result he will beat him and win, but fights are made by styles, and in this component, Evgeniy is not only more diverse, but also more experienced. And this gives us the right to charge for his victory, or choose such an option as total rounds, because you should not expect a quick outcome here. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Total over (2.5) by rounds/Victory of Evgeny Goncharov