Severstal vs Avangard. Which opponent will be stronger in the upcoming game?

On January 23, the Cherepovets Ice Palace will host the next match of the KHL regular championship. Local Severstal will host one of the leaders of the Eastern Conference, Omsk Avangard, on home ice.

Our Expert Predictions & Analysis on Severstal vs Avangard


Andrei Kozyrev's team ended 2023 with an away defeat to CSKA 1-3, thereby seemingly excluding themselves from further struggle for getting into the top 6 of the Western Conference at the end of the regular season. The team's position was complicated by injuries to two main goalkeepers, Konstantin Shostak and Dmitry Shugaev, in whose absence Alexander Samoilov, who began the season in the MHL club Buran, was brought in to play for the main team. For the 26-year-old goalkeeper, his debut in the KHL turned out to be excellent; in the six games he played, he conceded only six goals, while keeping three clean sheets.

The goalkeeper’s excellent play was supported by his teammates; in January, Severstal did not lose a single match, winning seven victories in a row. To some extent, the calendar helped the Cherepovets; four opponents were from the basement of the standings, which the club, aspiring to get into the playoffs, had to beat at home. At the same time, Severstal also managed to beat St. Petersburg SKA 3-2 at home, and then beat Traktor and Avtomobilist twice on the road with a clean score of 1-0 and 3-0. Thus, Severstal is already sixth in the West, with 61 points scored, only two points behind the fifth Nizhny Novgorod Torpedo.


The Omsk club also plays its January matches in a similar style. True, unlike the Severstal hockey players, Avangard already has one defeat in 2024; on January 3, the Omsk team lost at home with a score of 2-4 to the Ufa Salavat Yulaev. Then the team went on a streak of seven victorious matches, just like Severstal, surprising with its ultra-reliable defensive play. In January, Avangard conceded only 14 goals in 8 matches, and 7 of them came in two matches against Salavat Yulaev and Lada.

The Omsk club was not embarrassed by the injury of leading forward Vladimir Tkachev, who will be forced to miss around two weeks. Without Tkachev, the Omsk team confidently defeated CSKA at home 4-1, and then beat another capital club Spartak on the road, achieving a victory with a score of 3-1. Now Avangard continues to fight for the championship in the East, with 75 points scored, second only to Metallurg Magnitogorsk. The difference between the teams is only one point, but Omsk played two games less, so Avangard is potentially now the leader of the Eastern Conference.

Severstal vs Avangard


Home ice doesn't help Severstal much against Avangard. Since the 2017/18 season, for seven games in a row, the Cherepovets have failed to score more than two goals against Avangard, losing in six home games. Individual Total 1 under (2.5) 1.73. Last season, both games between these rivals were hard-fought, ending with Avangard winning by the narrowest of margins - 4-3 in Omsk and 2-1 in Cherepovets. The only meeting this season took place on 14 November in Omsk, ending in a 5-4 victory for Avangard, with Spooner's game-winning goal coming in overtime.

Odds from download 1xbet

Judging by the bookmaker quotes, there is no clear favourite in the upcoming match: Severstal's win in regulation time is offered at odds of 2.9, while Avangard's win can be bet at odds of 2.19. Judging by the statistics, a draw in regulation time is not uncommon in this rivalry. Of the 29 matches played, 9 ended in this way, and you can bet on another draw at odds of 3.85. As for the expected performance, 1xbet offers the following quotes: total more (4.5) - 1.54, total less (4.5) - 2.38. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Game Totals Prediction

Severstal and Avangard are the best teams in the League in terms of points scored in January. Moreover, first of all, this became possible due to the excellent defensive play of both clubs. Severstal conceded an average of 1.1 goals per match in January, while Avangard conceded 1.7 goals per game. It is unlikely that anything will change dramatically in the head-to-head match; the opponents will try to make the most of their strengths. Our prediction is Total Under 5.5 with odds of 1.73.

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